3   بودجه دولت

D(LOG(OGREVC))=-0.7511433161*(LOG(OGREVC(-1))-0.9411309499*LOG(VAOILC(-1)) - 0.2533719234 ) + 0.21437577*D(LOG(OGREVC(-1))) - 0.0804840456*D(LOG(VAOILC(-1)))

 

D(LOG(TCORC))=-0.9575691107*(LOG(TCORC(-1))-0.9402906576*LOG(GDPNOAC(-1))-0.5151094775*LOG(OGREVC(-1))+ 6.765581357) + 0.04729325098*D(LOG(TCORC(-1))) + 0.9568725194*D(LOG(GDPNOAC(-1))) - 0.1086505212*D(LOG(OGREVC(-1))) + 0.03355754797

 

D(LOG(TPAYC))= - 0.422593632*( LOG(TPAYC(-1)) - 2.204268191*LOG(GDPMAC(-1))+16.00886177)+0.1137118722*D(LOG(TPAYC(-1)))-0.1758408234*D(LOG(GDPMAC(-1)))

 

D(LOG(TOCUC))=-0.03289048262*(LOG(TOCUC(-1)) - 3.506667987*LOG(VATRHC(-1))+20.8101328)+0.3055508466*D(LOG(TOCUC(-1)))-0.3787616174*D(LOG(TOCUC(-2))) + 0.0319821649*D(LOG(VATRHC(-1))) - 0.1634010254*D(LOG(VATRHC(-2))) + 0.02961276577 + 0.01947138482*DR

 

D(LOG(TRESC)) = - 0.383030155*( LOG(TRESC(-1)) - 0.38528124*LOG(VASMC(-1)) +0.5515597893)+0.03847006317*D(LOG(TRESC(-1)))+1.141679707*D(LOG(VASMC(-1))) - 0.1093404625*DW

 

D(LOG(TOINC))= - 0.1405859283*( LOG(TOINC(-1)) - 9.647136546*LOG(GDPMAC(-1))+88.61648889)-0.26969822*D(LOG(TOINC(-1)))- 0.5571022289*D(LOG(GDPMAC(-1))) - 0.04989585486

 

D(LOG(TWC)) = - 0.03423395014*( LOG(TWC(-1)) - 1.208298112*LOG(GDPFC(-1)) - 1.112305119*LOG(M2(-1)*100/CPI(-1)) + 4.183417276*DR(-1) + 13.32853111 ) + 0.2292829837*D(LOG(TWC(-1)))-0.008550483047*D(LOG(TWC(-2)))+0.5382277306*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1))) - 0.5174926884*D(LOG(GDPFC(-2))) + 0.4644045767*D(LOG(M2(-1)*100/CPI(-1))) - 0.6123708435*D(LOG(M2(-2)*100/CPI(-2))) - 0.0172572119*D(DR(-1)) + 0.04715442888*D(DR(-2))

 

D(LOG(TMC)) = - 0.04799787942*( LOG(TMC(-1)) - 0.7800734901*LOG(M(-1))) - 0.06301496477*D(LOG(TMC(-1))) + 0.4325108991*D(LOG(M(-1)))

 

D(LOG(TCSC)) = - 0.4508936696*( LOG(TCSC(-1)) - 0.2189136483*LOG(CPC(-1)) - 2.205345204 ) + 0.2132463689*D(LOG(TCSC(-1))) + 0.1947876411*D(LOG(TCSC(-2))) +1.45459262*D(LOG(CPC(-1)))+0.3760396691*D(LOG(CPC(-2))) + 0.2351367271*DW

D(LOG(MREVC))=-0.6753993582*(LOG(MREVC(-1)) - 1.101581032*LOG(OGREVC(-2))+4.895906949)-0.06434465334*D(LOG(MREVC(-1)))+ 0.4120129068*D(LOG(OGREVC(-2))) + 0.0259497808 - 1.335411456*D79

 

D(LOG(SGREVC))=-0.2344946293*( LOG(SGREVC(-1)) - 1.945983716*LOG(GDPFC(-1))+13.75747187)-0.2916571853*D(LOG(SGREVC(-1)))+ 0.008338224317*D(LOG(SGREVC(-2)))+1.216667532*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))- 0.7845150058*D(LOG(GDPFC(-2))) + 0.04649013059 + 1.497156523*D78

 

D(LOG(RREVC))= - 0.07580456979*( LOG(RREVC(-1)) - 3.835318367*LOG(GDPFC(-1))+31.02103524)+0.05110611876*D(LOG(RREVC(-1)))+ 0.01861056477*D(LOG(RREVC(-2)))-0.3671886026*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))+ 1.019195684*D(LOG(GDPFC(-2))) + 0.02219095732 - 0.05208521713*DW

 

D(LOG(AREVC)) = - 0.1425906689*( LOG(AREVC(-1)) - 1.71147938*LOG(GDPFC(-1)) - 0.3253886631*DW(-1) + 10.77547832 ) - 0.2252711675*D(LOG(AREVC(-1))) - 0.06541096714*D(LOG(AREVC(-2)))+0.8600854445*D(LOG(GDPFC(-1)))+ 0.6799941816*D(LOG(GDPFC(-2)))+0.06497235007*D(DW(-1))+ 0.1058417232*D(DW(-2)) - 0.03790316474 + 0.0859790933*DR

 

D(LOG(CUREXC))=-0.1465963685*(LOG(CUREXC(-1))-1.631445587*LOG(OGREVC(-1))- 0.5286399006*LOG(NOGREVC(-1)) + 8.603109763) + 0.1512704795*D(LOG(CUREXC(-1))) - 0.03136243778*D(LOG(OGREVC(-1))) - 0.07485100443*D(LOG(NOGREVC(-1))) + 0.05937289368*DW

D(LOG(DEVEXC))=0.1042842844*(LOG(DEVEXC(-1))-1.268596683*LOG(OGREVC(-1)) - 0.2695176718*LOG(NOGREVC(-1)) - 1.067018095*DW(-1) + 5.428408353 ) + 0.1069274194*D(LOG(DEVEXC(-1))) + 0.2393475302*D(LOG(OGREVC(-1))) - 0.1468618117*D(LOG(NOGREVC(-1))) - 0.06576149606*D(DW(-1))

 

OGREV=OGREVC*VAOILDEFLATOR

TPAY=TPAYC*GDPDEFLATOR

TOCU=TOCUC*GDPDEFLATOR

TRES=TRESC*GDPDEFLATOR

TOIN=TOINC*GDPDEFLATOR

TIC=TPAYC+TOCUC+TRESC+TOINC

TI=TPAY+TOCU+TRES+TOIN

TCOR=TCORC*GDPDEFLATOR

TW=TWC*GDPDEFLATOR

TDC=TIC+TCORC+TWC

TD=TI+TCOR+TW

TCS=TCSC*GDPDEFLATOR

TM=TMC*GDPDEFLATOR

TIDC=TCSC+TMC

TID=TCS+TM

TTC=TDC+TIDC

TT=TD+TID

MREV=MREVC*GDPDEFLATOR

SGREV=SGREVC*GDPDEFLATOR

RREV=RREVC*GDPDEFLATOR

OTRC=MREVC+SGREVC+RREVC

OTR=MREV+SGREV+RREV

AREV=AREVC*GDPDEFLATOR

NOGREVC=TTC+OTRC+AREVC

NOGREV=TT+OTR+AREV

TREVC=OGREVC+NOGREVC

TREV=OGREV+NOGREV

CUREX=CUREXC*CGDEFLATOR

DEVEX=DEVEXC*IGDEFLATOR

TEXC=CUREXC+DEVEXC

TEX=CUREX+DEVEX

GBDEFICIT=TREV-TEX

GBDEFICITC=TREVC-TEXC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

جدول شماره 19- بودجه دولت